Covid-19: virus circulation speed slows markedly

Posted on Apr 19, 2020, 8:11 p.m.Updated on Apr 19, 2020 at 8:12 p.m.

A “Feat of our hospital system”. While the peak of the epidemic has passed since April 8, and that the exit from the plateau seems to be starting, the Prime Minister welcomed the mobilization of the hospital community, Sunday evening, at a press conference . At no time was the intensive care unit under strain, he said, graphics supported. The capacities were increased from 5,000 beds to 10,500 to cope, and this required recruiting a large number of caregivers engaged in other tasks.

“The hospital system has held up, at the cost of considerable effort and thanks to regional and European solidarity which must be emphasized”, he said. The 644 medical evacuations operated from the most affected regions are a source of pride, noticed abroad, he stressed. However, “We are not out of the health crisis”, and caregivers, still under considerable pressure “Need to rebuild their strength”.

If the epidemic’s decline is accelerating, this is not yet seen in the death statistics. In seven weeks, the coronavirus killed 19,718 people in hospital and in social or medico-social establishments. On the other hand, for eleven days, resuscitation beds are released. They admitted up to 7,100 Covid-19 patients. On Saturday, that number fell below the threshold of 6,000, and on Sunday it stood at 5,744, with only 137 admissions that day. The home returns of patients with coronavirus are more and more numerous, more than 36,000 since the beginning, out of 80,000 hospitalizations in total.

Before ability to deconfinate the French , it will be necessary to ensure that the chains of transmission of the virus are indeed dried up. We are still far enough, since 890 infected people were hospitalized on Sunday. However, the day before, it was over 1,500 each day.

In addition, certain signs observed as close as possible to the field are encouraging. According to data from the Sentinelles epidemiological surveillance network, the number of patients potentially infected with Covid-19 who consulted a general practitioner the week of April 6 to 12 was divided by four compared to the previous week: they were no longer than 7.155. As for emergency room visits, they fell from just over 27,000 to just over 19,000 (and only 1,286 in the last 24 hours).

What this means is that the source of contamination is gradually drying up. But at what speed? The Prime Minister ended the suspense on Sunday by announcing that the reproduction rate of the virus, that is to say the number of people infected by each infected person, had already fallen to 0.6. ” This is remarkable “, he greeted. The score was 3.4 in early March. It therefore fell well thanks to confinement. Following the gradual lifting of traffic restrictions on May 11, it will remain “Less than or equal to 1”, explained Edouard Philippe. We will have to learn to live with the virus.

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>>> France facing the coronavirus epidemic. What were the different stages of the alert? What is the day-to-day epidemiological situation? What measures have the government decided to limit the spread of the pandemic? To support the economy? Responses here in the special “Echoes” file .

>>> How to use deconfinement. What has the executive already announced as an exit plan? What are the many outstanding questions? What does the Scientific Council recommend? And the other experts? How are our European neighbors doing? Responses here in the special “Echoes” file .

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